NASCAR at Phoenix odds, picks 2019: Model says Clint Bowyer surprises at TicketGuardian 500

The green flag drops for the 2019 TicketGuardian 500 at ISM Raceway in suburban Phoenix on Sunday at 3:30 p.m. ET. After an electric start to the season at Daytona and two quick 1.5-mile paths in Atlanta and Las Vegas, Phoenix is the Monster Energy NASCAR cup series‘ first race in the tighter quarters of the one-mile loop in ISM Raceway. Kevin Harvick has won four of the last five March races at this track and will be the 9-4 favorite to collect another win at the latest 2019 TicketGuardian 500 odds. Fellow veteran and Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin is becoming 16-1, while Kurt Busch is at 30-1 NASCAR at Phoenix chances after a strong start to his season that has him at eighth in the NASCAR standings. Before you make your own 2019 TicketGuardian 500 selections, make sure you check at the NASCAR in Phoenix projected leaderboard from the SportsLine Projection Model.

Developed by DFS expert and SportsLine predictive data scientist Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking factors like track history and recent results into consideration.

It made some enormous calls in NASCAR this past year, such as properly casting wins for Kyle Busch in Chicago and Martin Truex Jr. in Sonoma. And it is off to a powerful start in NASCAR this year, calling Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin a top-four contender and nailing eight of the top 10 drivers at last week’s Pennzoil 400, which included putting winner Joey Logano in its projected top . Anybody who has followed its picks is way up.

Grew up around race tracks. Big events in iconic places like ISM Raceway have been in his bloodstream. His model has simulated Sunday’s 2019 NASCAR at Phoenix race 10,000 times and the results were surprising.

For your 2019 TicketGuardian 500, we can tell you that the model is high on Clint Bowyer, who makes a strong run at the checkered flag despite going off as a long shot at 25-1 NASCAR odds. He’s a goal for anyone searching for a payday.

Bowyer struck a five-season drought without a win and went on to catch a pair of victories at Martinsville and Michigan on the road to a 12th-place end in the NASCAR Playoffs. This season, he has added a top-five complete at Atlanta and has revealed impressive speed at times. Bowyer has seven career top-10s at Phoenix and won a truck series race at this track in 2010.

Bowyer, who pushes for Stewart-Haas Racing, was also second in among the year’s Daytona Duels and closed out last year’s NASCAR schedule with an eight-place ending at Homestead. He’ll also come armed into the 2019 TicketGuardian 500 with a similar car set up to teammates Harvick and Aric Almirola.

Among those shocking 2019 NASCAR in Phoenix chooses from the version: Kevin Harvick, a nine-time winner at ISM Raceway along with the very best Vegas favourite, makes a solid run but falls short of winning everything.

Harvick has made a career from getting to the front of the pack consistently at this particular track. In fact, He’s finished in the top 10 at 11 consecutive starts at ISM Raceway

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