NASCAR at Phoenix odds, picks 2019: Model says Clint Bowyer surprises at TicketGuardian 500

The green flag drops for the 2019 TicketGuardian 500 at ISM Raceway in suburban Phoenix on Sunday at 3:30 p.m. ET. Following an electric start to the season at Daytona and two fast 1.5-mile tracks in Atlanta and Las Vegas, Phoenix is the Dragon Energy NASCAR cup series‘ first race in the tighter quarters of this one-mile loop at ISM Raceway. Kevin Harvick has won four of the previous five March races in this track and will be the 9-4 favorite to collect another win at the latest 2019 TicketGuardian 500 chances. Fellow veteran and Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin is getting 16-1, while Kurt Busch is at 30-1 NASCAR in Phoenix odds after a strong start to his season that has him at eighth in the NASCAR standings. Before you make your 2019 TicketGuardian 500 picks, be sure to check at the NASCAR in Phoenix projected leaderboard from the SportsLine Projection Model.

Produced by DFS pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 occasions, taking factors such as track record and recent results into account.

It made some huge calls in NASCAR this past year, such as properly casting wins for Kyle Busch at Chicago and Martin Truex Jr. in Sonoma. And it is off to a strong start in NASCAR this season, calling Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin that a top-four competition and nailing eight of the top 10 drivers in a week’s Pennzoil 400, which included placing winner Joey Logano in its own projected top . Is far up.

Grew up around race tracks. Events in places like ISM Raceway have been in his bloodstream. His model has simulated Sunday’s 2019 NASCAR in Phoenix race 10,000 times and the results were surprising.

For the 2019 TicketGuardian 500, we could inform you that the model is top on Clint Bowyer, making a strong run in the checkered flag despite going off as a very long shot 25-1 NASCAR odds. He’s a goal for anybody looking for a massive payday.

Bowyer broke a five-season drought without a win last year and went on to catch a pair of victories at Martinsville and Michigan on the road to a 12th-place end in the NASCAR Playoffs. This season, he’s added a top-five finish at Atlanta and has shown remarkable speed occasionally. Bowyer has seven career top-10s in Phoenix and won a truck series race at this track in 2010.

Bowyer, who drives for Stewart-Haas Racing, was also second in among this year’s Daytona Duels and shut out a year’s NASCAR schedule with an eight-place ending at Homestead. He will also come armed to the 2019 TicketGuardian 500 using a similar vehicle set up to teammates Harvick and Aric Almirola.

Among those shocking 2019 NASCAR in Phoenix chooses from the model: Kevin Harvick, a nine-time winner in ISM Raceway and the top Vegas favorite, makes a strong run but falls short of winning it all.

Harvick has made a career from getting to the front of the pack consistently at this particular track. In fact, He’s finished in the top 10 at 11 consecutive starts at ISM Raceway

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