Week 6 NFL Value Picks: ATS, Moneylines & Totals

Following a Week 4 full of upsets, Week 5 showcased yet another seven underdogs covering the six and spread winning outright. With value appearing in money-lines, game totals, and spreads, Week 6 supplies a solid opportunity to take advantage of markets.
A conflict between two struggling teams, the 1-3-1 Arizona Cardinals return home to confront the 1-4 Atlanta Falcons. Although Arizona notched their first win over Cincinnati last week, the Falcons fell 53-32 into the Houston Texans. With the line starting at -2.5 in favour of the Falcons, 81 percent of wagers back Atlanta so much better.
Considering the crime of Atlanta, the Falcons remain a one-dimensional crime. Presently, the team ranks 28th in rushing yards per game (67.6), however third in passing yards per game (313.2). While this could pose a problem in many matchups, Arizona allows the sixth-most passing yards to opposing signal callers (1,420). Arizona has enabled every opponent this season to reach at least 23 total points.
Arizona remains limited by injuries with online and their wide receivers. Kyler Murray has taken 21 sacks this season, which ranks third in the NFL. Atlanta fights to generate pressure, with just 1.2 sacks per game. They stay above average in QB Hurries and Hits, indicating some positive regression in the line.
Using Arizonas defense hemorrhaging production to enemy signal callers, NFL chances point to the Falcons as a bet about the Week 6 card.

Sunday October 13th, 2019 in LA Memorial Coliseum (Los Angeles, California)
Line: Over 49

After launching at 48.5-points, the over/under from the 49ers-Rams game has already jumped a half point. Both San Francisco and Los Angeles rank within the top five total yards listed putting up for offensive fireworks.
San Franciscos offense picked up right where it left coming from the Week 4 bye. Thus far, the 49ers guide the full NFL rushing yards per game. They also rank fifth in total offense, together with 427.2 total yards per contest. The Rams rank middle-of-the-pack in metrics, but enabled at 96 rushing yards to Christian McCaffrey, Nick Chubb, also Chris Carson this season.
On the opposing side, the Rams check in using 413.6 full yards of offense per game. Jared Goff currently ranks third using 1,649 passing yards this year, and San Francisco appears more vulnerable to this pass. They enabled Andy Dalton to notch 311 passing yards in Week 2 Though the 49ers put the clamps on Baker Mayfield and Mason Rudolph in their past two games.
With both humming, this total looks likely to eclipse. NFL odds point to this over at 49-points as a bet.
Sunday October 13th, 2019 in Aarowhead Stadium (Kansas City, Missouri)
Line: Houston +5

Starting at -8.5-points, the lineup has already dropped to Chiefs -5.5-points, even despite Kansas City taking 60 percent of the public wagers. Right now, it seems this past week, some money that is sharp may have endorsed Houston. With a ton of injuries in the Kansas City side, Houston resembles a sharp week playwith.
Both offenses are surging of late, but Houston space should be afforded by this matchup. Kansas City positions in rushing yards allowed third-worst. Before losing defensive tackle, Chris Jones, into your groin injury this happened. Houston currently ranks 10th in rushing yards per game (129.4), together with Carlos Hyde and also Duke Johnson providing a two-headed attack.
As for the Chiefs crime, injuries continue to pile up. While Patrick Mahomes gutted out a foot injury, Sammy Watkins, Eric Fisher, and Andrew Wylie completed Week 5 to the seat. While facing 13 quarterback hurries, this caused Mahomes to consume 11 hits. With Tyreek Hill for Week 6, the Chiefs appear thin.
Battling accidents and matchup problems Kansas City resembles a fade because of our NFL Picks. Line movement and public gambling tendencies point to Houston.
Very best Bet: Falcons -1.5 at Bovada

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