Week 6 NFL Value Picks: ATS, Moneylines & Totals

After a Week 4 filled with upsets, Week 5 featured a second seven underdogs covering the six and spread winning outright. With value emerging in money-lines, game totals, and spreads, a opportunity to take advantage of markets is provided by Week 6.
A conflict between two teams, the 1-3-1 Arizona Cardinals come home to face the 1-4 Atlanta Falcons. The Falcons dropped although Arizona notched their first win over Cincinnati last week. With the line opening at -2.5 in favor of the Falcons, 81 percent of wagers back Atlanta so far.
Looking at Atlantas crime, the Falcons stay a one-dimensional offense. Currently, the team ranks 28th in rushing yards per game (67.6), however third in passing yards per game (313.2). While this could pose an issue in most matchups, Arizona allows the sixth-most passing yards to conflicting signal natives (1,420). Arizona has allowed this season to achieve 23 total points to every opponent.
On the opposing side, Arizona stays limited by injuries to offensive line and their wide receivers. Kyler Murray has obtained 21 sacks this season, which ranks third in the NFL. Atlanta struggles to generate stress, with only 1.2 sacks per game. They remain above average in QB Hurries and Hits, suggesting some regression that is positive .
Together with the defense hemorrhaging manufacturing to enemy signal callers of Arizona, NFL odds point as a bet on the Week 6 card to the Falcons.

Sunday October 13th, 2019 at LA Memorial Coliseum (Los Angeles, California)
Line: Over 49

After launching at 48.5-points, the over/under in the 49ers-Rams game has already jumped a half stage. Both San Francisco and Los Angeles position within the top five in total yards recorded setting up for fireworks.
San Franciscos offense picked up where it left coming out of the Week 4 bye. So far, the 49ers guide the NFL with 200 rushing yards per game. In addition they rank fifth in total offense, together with 427.2 total yards per contest. The Rams rank middle-of-the-pack in metrics that are defensive, however permitted at least 96 rushing yards to Nick Chubb Chris Carson, also Christian McCaffrey this season.
On the opposite side, the Rams check in using 413.6 full yards of offense per game. Jared Goff now ranks third with 1,649 passing yards this season, and San Francisco appears more vulnerable to this pass. Though the 49ers put the clamps on Mason Rudolph and Baker Mayfield in their last two matches, they let Andy Dalton to notch 311 passing yards in Week 2.
With both offenses humming, this complete looks likely to eclipse. NFL odds point to the over in 49-points as a bet that is powerful.
Sunday October 13th, 2019 in Aarowhead Stadium (Kansas City, Missouri)
Line: Houston +5

Opening at -8.5-points, the line has dropped to Chiefs -5.5-points, despite Kansas City taking 60% of their public wagers. At the moment, it seems this past week, some sharp money may have endorsed Houston. With a ton of accidents in the Kansas City facet, Houston looks like a early week drama .
Both offenses have been surging of late, yet this matchup should manage Houston space. Kansas City ranks in rushing yards allowed third-worst. This occurred before losing stud defensive tackle into your groin injury. Houston now ranks 10th in rushing yards per game (129.4), together with Carlos Hyde and Duke Johnson supplying a two-headed assault.
In terms of the Chiefs crime, injuries continue to pile up here as well. While Patrick Mahomes gutted out a foot injury, Sammy Watkins, Eric Fisher, and Andrew Wylie ended Week 5 to the seat. While confronting 13 quarterback hurries this induced Mahomes to absorb 11 hits. On crime, the Chiefs seem thin Together with Tyreek Hill already doubtful for Week 6.
Battling accidents and matchup problems Kansas City looks like a fade because of our NFL Picks in Week 5. Line motion and gambling trends point to Houston because of a sharp drama within an underdog.
Very best Bet: Falcons -1.5 in Bovada

Read more here: http://blog.janaretz.de/?p=2848

Comments are closed.